Global Warming

On Saturday, June 26th we were supposed to finish the work we’d started at our Garden Work Party the week before but temperatures climbed to record levels and we had to call it off.

You may have noticed that meteorologists were careful to say “It probably would not have been this bad without Global Warming”. Why such a mealy-mouthed explanation? Why not just say “It was hot because of Global Warming”?

The reason is because meteorologists depend on statistics for predicting what the temperature should have been on that day. Some meteorologists believe that temperatures above 100 degrees are rare but should not be unexpected and others say the recent frequency of these events adds credibility to forecast models that include Global Warming as a factor.

Statistical models use the logic of inference so one qualifies one’s conclusions to be accurate; not because the findings might be wrong.